The US, Russia, and al Qaeda in Syria

This article by Alistair Crooke provides an interesting summary of US-Russia relationship and the drive by many in the US foreign policy establishment to increase tensions with Russia.

In Syria, the US

  • wants its Islamist allies, led by al Qaeda, to control Aleppo
  • This would take a major population center out of government control and provide leverage to oust Assad
  • al Qaeda would be turned loose on the citizens of Aleppo
  • This failed due to Russian military actions, but the US still wanted al Qaeda protected as they are the strongest anti-Assad force in the area
  • the September deal with Russia seems to have the US agreeing to allow al Qaeda to be separated from the “less radical” jihadies and targeted

Is the US Establishment drive to demonize Russia about the US election?

“Which brings us to the complex question of the current demonization of Russia by the Cold War Bloc (which includes Hillary Clinton) in the U.S. presidential election campaign.

Gregory R. Copley, editor of Defense & Foreign Affairs has described the situation as one in which the U.S. Establishment is deliberately and intentionally “sacrificing key bilateral relationships in order to win [a] domestic election,” adding “in my 50 odd years covering the US government, I have never seen this level of partisanship within the administration where a sitting president actually regards the opposition party as the enemy of the state.”

In short, the stakes being played here – in demonizing Russia and Putin – go well beyond Syria or Ukraine. They lie at the heart of the struggle for the future of the U.S.”

A connection between Syria and Ukraine?

“And Kiev too is deploying along the entire borders of Donetsk and Lugansk. (A description of the military escalation by Kiev can be seen visually presented here).

Is Poroshenko’s U-turn the American “revenge” for Russia’s “win” in Syria – to heat up Ukraine, in order to drown President Putin in the Ukraine marshes? We do not know.

U.S. Vice President Joe Biden has boasted: “I think I tend to be in more direct conversation, for longer periods of time with the President [Poroshenko], than with my wife. (Laughter.) I think they both regret that (Laughter).”

Is it possible that Biden was not consulted before Poroshenko made his annual address to the Rada? We do not know, although within 48 hours of Poroshenko’s making his Rada address, Defense Secretary Ash Carter was in London, recommitting to Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, as he signed a “bilateral partner concept” with the Ukrainian defense minister.”

Of course, it must always be kept in mind that none of this is in the interest of the American people who finance it all.

US Govt spin on Saudi Arabia vs Iran

Why is the US govt going out of its way to hide the involvement of Saudi Arabians in the murder of US citizens, and why is it going out of its way to hype the threat from Iran and Syria?  It’s doubtful that it has much to do with protecting American citizens.

http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/may/12/911-commission-saudi-arabia-hijackers?CMP=twt_gu

They know the public will either not care or believe anything

Foreign policy “experts” have their own agenda, and it isn’t keeping America secure.

From Robert Parry:

“In an April 2, 2011 email, Blumenthal informed Clinton that sources close to one of Gaddafi sons reported that Gaddafi’s government had accumulated 143 tons of gold and a similar amount of silver that “was intended to be used to establish a pan-African currency” that would be an alternative to the French franc.

Blumenthal added that “this was one of the factors that influenced President Nicolas Sarkozy’s decision to commit France to the attack on Libya.” Sarkozy also wanted a greater share of Libya’s oil production and to increase French influence in North Africa, Blumenthal wrote.

But few Americans would rally to a war fought to keep North Africa under France’s thumb. So, the winning approach was to demonize Gaddafi with salacious rumors about him giving Viagra to his troops so they could rape more, a ludicrous allegation that was raised by then-U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Susan Rice, who also claimed that Gaddafi’s snipers were intentionally shooting children.”

Sovereign immunity is criminal insider immunity

Governments are the only arbiters of the law within their own borders, where they have a monopoly on the use of force, and make deals with other governments so individual citizens of any country can’t sue governments for their actions.  Individual citizens can be sued, corporations can be sued, but governments can’t be sued.

But governments don’t act, the individuals in the governments do, and they often don’t have their citizens’ interests in mind when they act.  They act for the benefit of special interests.  When average people are hurt because of the actions done for the benefit of the few, the few don’t want them to be able to receive compensation, and they certainly don’t want to be held accountable personally.  Otherwise the prisons would be filled with presidents, politicians, bureaucrats, and lobbyists from all over the world.

From The Hill:

“The White House has come out against the legislation, because of what it claims would be dangerous precedent that could erode the legal system of sovereign immunity.

“If we open up the possibility that individuals and the United States can routinely start suing other governments, then we are also opening up the United States to being continually sued by individuals in other countries,” Obama said in an interview with CBS broadcast early Tuesday.”

The message of the forward curve

From Reuters today:

“In late 2014 and again in late 2015, traders and refiners raced to buy as much crude as possible and put it into storage to profit from a big contango structure in the futures market.

But the strategy depends on the contango remaining wide enough to cover all the costs of financing and storing the physical crude.

As the contango in Brent narrows sharply, strategies which depend on selling Brent futures are becoming unprofitable (Hedge funds bet on tightening oil market despite Doha debacle, Reuters, April 19).

To the extent traders and refiners are financing and storing extra stock with Brent futures, the barrels are likely to be sold if the market remains in a narrow contango or moves deeper into backwardation.”

Foreign policy for whose benefit?

Are “foreign policy elites” incompetent, or might they have another motive than what is commonly believed?  The foreign policy establishment is made up of individuals who produce no product that anyone in a free market would want to buy, so they must rely on the generosity of benefactors for their livings.  Those benefactors, be they governments or businesses that receive money from governments, have their own agendas, and those agendas have nothing to do with the average American citizen, other than to get into his pockets.

Here we read that “foreign policy elites” have advocated one disaster after another, and don’t want to work with a potential president who has openly criticized the results of their decisions and advocacy.  But if they are so obviously incompetent, then why are they still listened to?

Perhaps the people who pay their salaries don’t view them as incompetent or the results of their ideas as negative.  Some clues from today’s news:

Could money play a role in foreign policy, or is it all based on good old American goodness of intention?

Do “foreign policy elites” in the government view their constituents as the American people, or a small, powerful sliver of the American (and other) people?

Another question comes to mind:  why the obsession with Iran, and the protection of Saudi Arabia, which is a much more dangerous and destabilizing force than Iran could ever dream of being?  How many of the “foreign policy elite” are on the Saudi payroll, and how many are on the Iranian payroll?

 

 

 

Different kinds of intervention

Honduras has been the focus of US intervention for over a century.  While corrupt Honduran “leaders” bear most of the blame for the country’s situation, the US government, often at the behest of private interests, has not helped.  From Stephen Kinzer:

http://www.bostonglobe.com/ideas/2016/03/29/hard-choices-honduras/sLI9xnEw6TWXQgGb9ZVTZO/story.html

Oil Rigs, Production, Imports, and Storage

US oil rigs in operation have fallen from a high of 1609 in October 2014 to 372 last week, according to Baker Hughes.  US oil production has fallen from 9.61 million barrels/day in June 2015 to 9.02 mbd last week, according to the EIA.

However, imports of oil into the US has increased during that same time, and the total amount of oil in storage in the US has risen.

oil rigs, prod, impoil storage

 

Will Increasing Technology Necessarily Lead to Higher Stock Prices?

This article by Gary North talks about the drag the administrative State puts on the lives and dealings of modern people.  Administrative law, like the permanent security
State, is above and apart from the elected governments in many ways.

North also talks about the inevitable Great Default, where governments will be forced to capitulate on their promises to pay health and other entitlement programs in the future.

Technological innovation has brought massive gains in efficiency and productivity in the last several decades.  These gains will likely increase at an increasing rate.  The prospects for the future are laid out in a very long and influential article by Ray Kurzweil, who begins his essay like this:

“You will get $40 trillion just by reading this essay and understanding what it says. For complete details, see below. (It’s true that authors will do just about anything to keep your attention, but I’m serious about this statement. Until I return to a further explanation, however, do read the first sentence of this paragraph carefully.)”

If one does read much further, the $40 trillion comment is explained.  Kurzweil says that exponential growth in technology, and hence efficiency, productivity, and wealth, imply that stock markets should triple, or rise $40 trillion in value.

Perhaps.  But some other things could happen.  Rapidly increasing technology is leading to greater connectivity between people, all of whom are buyers of some things and sellers of other things.  It is becoming less necessary for large corporations to aggregate labor for the production of goods and services on one hand, and to distribute those goods and services, on the other hand.  Technology will continue to allow more and more transactions to take place directly.  Will many of the profits of these transactions accrue to sources not listed on stock exchanges?  Will we see a re-localization of economies which will show the age of centralization and conglomeration to have been only a transitional state made necessary by a lack of technology?

How many corporations and their stock prices are boosted by the expectation of continued redirection of capital through governments?  A Great Default would not only mean that health care spending (in total dollars) would go down, and with them the stock prices of the health care sector.  The many corporations related to the war and surveillance State would be affected.  Auto makers, energy companies, airplane makers, and many others receive huge government subsidies.

These two factors, greater connectivity which will remove the need for many corporate middlemen, and a general government default which will leave more money in people’s hands at the expense of connected corporations, lead me to imagine another world.  This other world will see lower and less important stock markets, but greater total wealth in society as a whole.

Every non-coerced transaction leaves all parties better off.  The future will see exponentially more transactions taking place in more efficient markets.  Total wealth will rise exponentially.  But stock prices might not.

And what of the administrative State?  Will it be able to insinuate itself further into the dealings of our personally connected buyers and sellers?  Exponential increases in connectivity would lead to exponentially more holes to possibly be filled by State administration.  I don’t believe it would have the intelligence or the funding to be able to keep up.  It could revert, due both to lack of funding and capability and to being out-competed by the private sector, to a night watchman role.  Technology might lead to a re-distribution of wealth back to its producers.